Harley-Davidson:Outside
In
Sixty-six years of buying what it could build
- What they saidMay 2026, the new plan: “leveraging existing powertrain, existing platforms” and “executing better with the platforms we already have rather than introducing entirely new ones.” The first new bike is the Sprint, on a 440cc single Hero MotoCorp builds in Rajasthan.
- What it isThe sixty-sixth year of the same move. Every brand Harley ever bought was sold or shut, with the same sentence. MV Agusta: $105.1M in, $268.4M lost, sold back for €1. Alta: a stake too small to disclose, gone in six months. StaCyc: $14.9M, and it outsells LiveWire 33 to 1.
- What decided itHarley builds when the product carries the full brand at the full price. Everything below the big twin (a small bike, a balance bike, a battery, a loan book) gets bought, licensed or partnered. It stays when it feeds the dealer. It goes when it competes with the badge.
Harley doesn’t want electric. It wants floor traffic.
Faster Faster, Inc. Forms D (2016–2018) · LVWR 8-K (30 Sep 2022; 22 May 2026) and 10-K (FY2022) · LiveWire FY2025 and Q2 2026 results · Hero MotoCorp X440 release (3 Jul 2023) · H-D call transcripts Q1 2019, Q3 2021, Q2 2025, Q1 2026, Q2 2026
- Part IThe recordSixteen moves in one table. Brands go. Channels and components stay.
- Part IISame sentenceBuell and MV Agusta. $125M and $268M. “Focus on the Harley-Davidson brand.”
- Part IIIToo small to sayAlta, never disclosed. StaCyc, $14.9M, and it outsells LiveWire 33 to 1.
- Part IVWhat it buildsTwo engines kept. One small bike lost money and left. The rule.
- Part VThe Sprint rhyme1960: an Aermacchi. 2026: a Hero. Same hole, somebody else’s engine.
- Part VIThe final wordSeven CEOs, one cycle. LiveWire is on the Buell script. What it was for.
The finding, and the trail that led to it
Harley-Davidson has spent sixty-six years buying, licensing and partnering its way into every segment below the big twin, and building from within only when the product carries the full brand at the full price. Here is how three old filings led me to that sentence.
Start with what they said. May 5, 2026, the Q1 call, the new CEO explaining the plan: “By using and leveraging existing powertrain, existing platforms, we can have a much broader assortment of motorcycles to present.” The first new motorcycle under that plan is the Sprint. Its engine is a 440cc single that Hero MotoCorp co-developed with Harley and builds in Neemrana for the X440, a ₹2.29 lakh motorcycle. On the same call: “we’re finalizing the specific production plans.” A company that says it will lean on the platforms it already has is opening the plan with one it does not own.
That sent me back through the record. Not the press record; the filed one. What did Harley pay each time it reached outside the building, what did it get, and how did it end?
- Open the FY2009 and FY2010 10-Ks and MV Agusta is not the “~$163M” everyone quotes. It is $268.4M of net loss from discontinued operations in twenty-four months, on $105.1M of consideration, $20.1M of which was written off on the day it closed.
- Open the 8-K of August 9, 2010 and the sale agreement is attached. The shares went for €1. The U.S. company for $1. A €103.8M receivable for another euro. Harley put €20.0M into escrow on the way out.
- Search every 10-Q and 10-K Harley filed in 2018 and 2019 for “Alta.” One hit, one sentence, in a press release. No amount. Alta’s own Form D chain bounds it at $5.65M.
- Open the Q1 2019 10-Q and StaCyc cost $14.9M. LiveWire’s carve-out statements show the earn-out was paid in full. In 2025 it sold 21,633 units to LiveWire’s 653.
- Line them up by what each one was for and the pattern writes itself: the finance company and the balance bikes were bought to feed the dealer, and they stayed. The brands were bought to be a second Harley, and they went.
None of this is secret. All of it is in the exhibits, and most of it has not been read in a decade.
The trail, in five documents
The order I read them in. Each one sent me to the next.
- “Existing platforms.” Starrs on the plan, and on the Sprint: “we’re finalizing the specific production plans.” The engine is Hero’s. Why does a company with the Milwaukee-Eight not build a 440?
- $115.4M. The impairment, fourteen months after closing. Consideration €68.3M, goodwill $85.8M, IPR&D of $20.1M written off at once. The Buell decision, taken the same week, is in the 10-Q beside it.
- €1. §2.1.1(a): the MV Agusta shares “for a consideration of Euro 1 (one).” §7.1.1: a capital increase of €20,000,000. §7.2.2(a): the earn-out “finally and irrevocably waived.” The 10-K says “nominal consideration.” This is what nominal means.
- $20,843,998. Alta’s round, closed by amendment four weeks before Harley’s announcement. Six investors and $5.65M added since July. Harley’s own filings never give a number; this is the ceiling.
- $14.9 million. StaCyc: $7.0M of cash, $9.5M of goodwill, and a stated reason: “building the next generation of riders.” Then LiveWire’s FY2025 release: 21,633 of them, against 653 motorcycles.
Four instruments
The paperwork that decided each ending.
- Why. Back to the Bricks is scored on HDMC alone and opens with a licensee’s motorcycle. Whether the Sprint and the 883 get built in Harley’s own plants, at a price where Harley makes money, is the whole test of the plan. The record says what usually happens.
- Who for. Anyone deciding whether the Sprint is a product or a channel program; anyone holding HOG into a 2027 that contains the 883, a Sprint, and a LiveWire decision; and the people at Juneau Avenue who already know this and cannot say it.
- What I did. Read the acquisition, impairment and discontinued-operations notes for every outside move since 1993, the sale agreement for MV, Alta’s Form D chain, and LiveWire’s carve-out statements for StaCyc. Derived figures are arithmetic on filed numbers, shown in the captions. Secondary sources are used only where flagged.
- Who I am. I ran product at Harley-Davidson: Touring, CVO, Trike. I have sat in the meeting where a small-bike program gets its cost target. §13.
The record
Every time Harley-Davidson reached outside the building, 1960 to 2026, from the filings.
Sixteen moves, one table
Every figure is from a filing or a company release unless marked ~, which means a secondary source and an open item. “n/d” means the company never disclosed it. Read the last column first.
| Year | Move | In / out | Cost, as filed | How it ended |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1960 | 50% of Aermacchi’s motorcycle division, Varese | Out | ~$250K | The original Harley-Davidson Sprint, 250/350 singles. Full ownership early 1970s. Sold to the Castiglionis (Cagiva) 1978 |
| 1986 | Holiday Rambler, recreational vehicles | Out | ~$155M | Segment sold 1996, ~$105M, gain $22.6M, “in order to concentrate on its core motorcycle business” |
| 1993 | 49% of Eaglemark Financial Services; the rest Nov 1995 | Out | $10M + ~$45M | Became HDFS. $248M of operating income in 2024. 9.8% sold to KKR/PIMCO at ~1.75× book, 2025 |
| 1993 | 49% of Buell; substantially all of the rest Feb 1998 | Out | ~$500K; 1998 n/d | Shut Oct 2009. Announced exit cost ~$125M. “Focus both our effort and our investment on the Harley-Davidson brand” |
| 2008 | MV Agusta + Cagiva | Out | €68.3M ($105.1M) | Sold back to Castiglioni 6 Aug 2010 for €1 + $1 + €1, with €20.0M of H-D cash contributed. Net loss from discontinued ops $268.4M in 24 months |
| 2013 | Street 500/750, Revolution X, Bawal (India) | In | n/d | “First all-new platform in 13 years.” India manufacturing exited Sept 2020, ~$75M restructuring. “Unprofitable,” per the CFO, Q3 2021 |
| 2016 | Milwaukee-Eight | In | n/d | Still the Big Twin |
| 2017 | Rayong, Thailand plant | In, offshore | n/d | Rev Max models for the U.S. moved there 2024; returning to York and Menomonee Falls before 2027 |
| 2018 | Equity in Alta Motors (Faster Faster, Inc.) + co-development | Out | never stated | H-D out by August; Alta closed 17 Oct 2018; BRP bought the IP. H-D’s own Silicon Valley EV R&D facility announced 5 Sep 2018 |
| 2019 | StaCyc, Inc. | Out | $14.9M | LiveWire’s only profitable unit. 21,633 units in 2025 |
| 2019 | Qianjiang (Geely), 338cc for China | Out, licence | n/d | X350/X500 in Asia. The X350RA is the U.S. Riding Academy bike, not for sale |
| 2020 | Hero MotoCorp, India distribution and brand licence | Out, licence | follows ~$75M exit | X440 launched Jul 2023, Hero-built, ₹2.29 lakh. The Sprint’s engine |
| 2021 | Revolution Max / Pan America | In | n/d | Pan America, Sportster S, Nightster. Thailand 2024–26; coming home |
| 2021 | LiveWire SPAC; KYMCO $100M | Out, capital | H-D $100M; $1.77B EV | 923 units TTM; $422M of consolidated losses (No. 02) |
| 2025 | HDFS: 4.9% each to KKR and PIMCO; >$5B of receivables; two-thirds forward flow | Out, capital | ~$1.25B in | HDFS operating income guided from $490M to $55–70M (No. 02 §2) |
| 2026 | Dust Motorcycles, Inc., via LiveWire | Out | $375K cash + stock | Pre-revenue; product “2H 2026”; earn-outs to $11.25M |
| 2026 | S4 Honcho, produced by KYMCO | Out, contract mfg | $4,999 / $5,499 | KYMCO exclusive for five years on the maxi-scooter and “any future products on which the parties may agree” |
| 2026–27 | Sprint (Hero 440 single); Sportster 883 | In? | Sprint production “being finalized”; sub-$6,000 (Jul 2025) now “less than $10,000” (trade). The 883: first air-cooled twin program since the Evolution |
Two patterns fall out before any analysis. Every outside purchase that carried its own brand was sold or shut: Holiday Rambler, Buell, MV Agusta, Aermacchi. Three of the four went within two years of a CEO change, with the same sentence. Every outside move that carried no badge into a Harley segment has been kept, quietly: Eaglemark’s balance sheet, StaCyc’s balance bikes, Hero’s engine, Qianjiang’s twin, KYMCO’s assembly line, KKR’s capital. They feed the dealer without competing with the Harley-Davidson brand.
Same sentence
Buell and MV Agusta: what the two biggest purchases cost, and the words used both times.
Sixteen years, one paragraph, $125 million
Harley took 49% of Buell in 1993 for about half a million dollars, and “substantially all of the remaining shares” in February 1998. Eleven years after that, a new CEO wrote it down in one board meeting.
Buell shipped 13,119 motorcycles in 2008 and 9,572 in 2009, on revenue of $123.1M and $46.5M. The 2009 number is after a Q4 of negative $4.0M, when dealers returned inventory. On October 14, 2009 the board “committed to the discontinuation of its Buell product line.” The subsequent-events note in the Q3 2009 10-Q put the cost at approximately $125 million: $115M in 2009 and $10M in 2010; sales incentives, inventory write-downs and operating costs ~$70M; fixed-asset impairments ~$14M; one-time termination benefits ~$9M; contractual obligations ~$32M; about 60% of it cash. Roughly 80 hourly and 100 salaried positions, employment ending December 18.
“The fact is we must focus both our effort and our investment on the Harley-Davidson brand, as we believe this provides an optimal path to sustained, meaningful, long-term growth.”
“We believe we can create a bright long-term future for our stakeholders through a single-minded focus on the Harley-Davidson brand.”
“Buell and MV Agusta are great companies, with proud brands, high-quality exciting products and passionate enthusiasm for the motorcycle business.” 8-K Ex. 99.1, 15 Oct 2009
The realized Buell cost was never reported on its own. It went into the 2009 restructuring plan, which expensed $220.9M in 2009 and $119.1M in 2010, and the FY2010 10-K closes the file in one sentence: “The Company ceased production of Buell motorcycles at the end of October 2009.” Buell’s own statement said it had built “more than 135,000 motorcycles” since 1983. Erik Buell, eighteen months later: “They didn’t shut down Buell because they were mean.” He was right. They shut it because it was a second brand in a building that has room for one.
$105 million in. $268 million out. Sold for a euro.
Announced July 11, 2008 under Jim Ziemer, closed August 8, committed for sale October 2009, gone August 6, 2010. The whole thing fits inside one Harley-Davidson CEO transition, and the filings record every dollar of it.
The announcement: “total consideration of approximately 70 million euros ($109 million), which includes the satisfaction of existing bank debt for approximately 45 million euros ($70 million),” plus a contingent payment to Claudio Castiglioni in 2016. Ziemer: “Motorcycles are the heart, soul and passion of Harley-Davidson, Buell and MV Agusta.” The final allocation in the FY2009 10-K: consideration €68.3M ($105.1M), of which €47.5M ($73.2M) retired bank debt; net assets acquired $95.6M; goodwill $85.8M; intangibles $52.8M, of which $20.1M was in-process research and development “written off subsequent to the acquisition.” A fifth of the purchase price, expensed on arrival.
| Discontinued operations, as filed | Revenue | Loss before tax | Net loss |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2008 (8 Aug – 31 Dec) | $15.9M | $(31.9)M | $(29.5)M |
| 2009 | $56.7M | $(165.4)M | $(125.8)M |
| 2010 (to 6 Aug) | $48.6M | $(131.0)M | $(113.1)M |
| Total, 24 months | $121.2M | $(328.4)M | $(268.4)M |
| 2011: tax reserves reversed on IRS agreement | $(0.4)M | +$51.0M | |
| Net | $(217.4)M |
On $105.1M of consideration that is 2.55 times the purchase price lost, or $11.2M a month for every month Harley owned the company. The impairments alone, $115.4M in 2009 and $111.8M in 2010, come to $227.2M pre-tax. More than double what was paid.
The sale, and the €1 / €2 / €3 question
The FY2010 10-K says only that “the Company received nominal consideration in return for the transfer of MV and related assets.” The Sale and Purchase Agreement, filed as Exhibit 2.1 to the 8-K of August 9, 2010, is where the number lives.
“Our decision to divest MV Agusta reflects our strategy to focus our efforts and our investment on the Harley-Davidson brand, as we believe this provides an optimal path to long-term growth.”
In 1996 the sentence was “core motorcycle business.” In 2009 and 2010 it was “the Harley-Davidson brand.” The words repeat because the decision does.
Too small to say
Alta, which Harley never put a number on, and StaCyc, the one purchase that has hit every target it was given.
One sentence, no number, six months
March 1, 2018: “Harley-Davidson Invests In Alta Motors; Companies Will Collaborate On Future Electric Motorcycle Product Development.” Search every filing Harley made in 2018 and 2019 for what it paid, and this is what you find.
Matt Levatich, in the release: “Alta has demonstrated innovation and expertise in EV and their objectives align closely with ours. We each have strengths and capabilities that will be mutually beneficial as we work together to develop cutting-edge electric motorcycles.” No amount. No percentage. The Q1 2018 earnings release, filed as an 8-K exhibit on April 24, is the only Harley-Davidson SEC filing that has ever contained the word “Alta”: “Invested in a collaborative agreement with Alta Motors, an innovator in lightweight electric vehicles, supporting Harley-Davidson’s commitment to lead in the electrification of the sport of motorcycling.”
That is the whole disclosure. A full-text search of every 10-Q and 10-K from April 2018 through December 2019 finds no equity investment, no carrying value, no impairment of an investment, no write-off, no “privately held,” no “readily determinable fair value.” The stake sat below the threshold at which a $5.7 billion company has to tell anyone what it paid. The only footprint is one line on the income statement.
Alta’s own paperwork bounds it
Alta Motors was the trade name. The company was Faster Faster, Inc., Brisbane, California, CIK 1620298, and it filed a Form D for every round it raised.
| Filed | Offering | Sold | Investors | Signed by |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7 Mar 2016 | $7.0M convertible notes | $1.77M | 18 | Marc Fenigstein, CEO |
| 2 Jun 2017 | $26.1M equity (first sale 18 May 2017) | $12.4M | 42 | Fenigstein, CEO |
| 3 Jul 2017 | $20.3M equity + debt (first sale 20 Jun 2017) | $15.2M | 24 | Derek Dorresteyn, Secretary |
| 5 Feb 2018 (D/A) | Same round, amended and closed: $20,843,998 | $20.84M | 30 | Arno Harris, CEO · signed 2 Feb |
| 13 Aug 2018 | $5.0M debt (first sale 27 Jul 2018) | $2.45M | 4 | Harris, CEO · signed 10 Aug |
The round Harley joined was closed by amendment on February 2, 2018, four weeks before the announcement. Between the July 2017 notice and the February 2018 amendment the round grew by $5.65M and six investors. No Form D reports an equity sale after that. If Harley’s money is in that round, and there is nowhere else in the record for it to be, the check was inside $5.65M. Inferred Harley has never stated the figure.
- 2 Feb 2018Alta closes its equity round at $20,843,998 (Form D/A, filed 5 Feb).
- 1 Mar 2018Harley announces the investment and co-development. “We intend to be the world leader in the electrification of motorcycles.”
- 30 Jul 2018“More Roads to Harley-Davidson”: LiveWire in 2019, “additional models through 2022,” $450–550M of operating investment. Alta is not mentioned.
- 27 Jul 2018Alta begins selling a $5.0M bridge note; $2.45M placed with four investors (Form D, filed 13 Aug).
- 29 Aug 2018Asphalt & Rubber, sourced: Harley “has all but removed itself from its joint motorcycle project with Alta.” No company statement. Unverified
- 5 Sep 2018Harley announces “a new advanced technology R&D facility in Silicon Valley”: about 25 staff, “battery, power electronics, and e-machine design and development.” Alta’s specialty, one exit away from Alta’s building.
- 17 Oct 2018Alta ceases operations. Harley to TechCrunch: “Our collaborative efforts with Alta Motors were productive and we were pleased with the development work we partnered on.”
- 20 Feb 2019BRP buys “certain intellectual property, patents and some limited physical assets” and says it has “no interest in restarting operations of Alta Motors.”
Marc Fenigstein, Alta’s co-founder and first CEO, told RideApart in 2024 that the deal was to “split development costs right down the line” on Alta’s second-generation platform, with Alta “effectively … a supplier of [Harley’s] next platform,” and that when LiveWire’s S2 Del Mar appeared, “our drawings, our engineering CAD and our concept sketches from early 2018” matched it “almost one for one.”
That is his account. It is public, Harley has not answered it, and no filing supports or contradicts it. Disclosure: I know Marc Fenigstein and have worked with him since Alta closed. The quote is here because it is public and material. Weigh it knowing that.
$14.9 million, and it outsells LiveWire 33 to 1
The Q1 2019 10-Q: “On March 4, 2019, the Company purchased certain assets and liabilities of StaCyc, Inc. for total consideration of $14.9 million including cash paid at acquisition of $7.0 million.” The stated reason was not electrification. It was the next customer.
Harley’s filing never explains the other $7.9M. LiveWire’s carve-out financials, filed when the SPAC closed, do: a contingent earn-out with a fair value of $4.98M at acquisition and a maximum of $6.537M, paid $2.18M in each of 2020, 2021 and 2022. StaCyc hit every volume target it was given.
| StaCyc consideration | $ | Source: Q1 2019 10-Q; LVWR 8-K 30 Sep 2022; LVWR 10-K FY2022 R71 |
|---|---|---|
| At acquisition, 4 Mar 2019 | $14.9M | Total consideration; $7.0M cash; goodwill $9.5M (tax-deductible); intangibles $5.3M |
| Earn-out, fair value at close | $4.98M | Maximum $6.537M, “based on the achievement of sales volume targets” over three twelve-month periods from June 2019 |
| Paid 2020 | $2.18M | First performance period met |
| Paid 2021 | $2.18M | Second period met |
| Paid 24 Jun 2022 | $2.18M | “the final earnout payment.” Third period met |
| Total paid | $6.54M | Effectively the maximum. Every volume milestone hit |
Heather Malenshek, SVP Marketing and Brand, 5 March 2019: “The StaCyc team shares the same vision we have for building the next generation of riders globally.”
Matt Levatich, Q1 2019 call: “kids who are enjoying two-wheeled freedom with their families, connecting through Harley Davidson dealerships and events. Starting at $649, StaCyc products further broaden the spectrum we’ve promised in the electric two-wheel space.”
$6.1M of revenue, down 28%. $9,342 a unit. The company sold to the public at a $1.77B enterprise value.
$19.6M of revenue, up 7%. $906 a unit. 76% of LiveWire’s product revenue, from a $14.9M purchase.
The older precedent: Eaglemark
In January 1993 Harley “invested $10 million for a 49% interest in Eaglemark Financial Services,” which financed dealers’ floor plans and customers’ motorcycles. In November 1995 it bought the rest for “approximately $45 million.” $55M for the business that became HDFS, made $248M of operating income in 2024, and that KKR and PIMCO paid roughly 1.75 times book for a tenth of in 2025.
The two outside purchases that were kept and made money are the two that make money on somebody else’s product on a Harley dealer’s floor. Neither has ever been asked to build a motorcycle.
What it builds
Three in-house programs, two outcomes, and the rule that falls out of them.
Two engines kept. One small bike lost money and left.
The table has three things Harley built rather than bought in the last fifteen years. Two are still the engines of its highest-priced lines. The third is the reason the Sprint is a Hero.
Street 500/750, 2013. “The first all-new platform from Harley-Davidson in 13 years,” liquid-cooled Revolution X, for “young adults in cities around the world,” built in Kansas City for North America and in Bawal, India, for everywhere else. On September 24, 2020 Harley filed an 8-K “discontinuing its sales and manufacturing operations in India”: about 70 employees, “approximately $75 million” of restructuring expense for the actions approved that month, of which “contract termination and other costs of approximately $67 million.” One month later it signed the Hero agreements. The verdict came from the CFO, Gina Goetter, on the Q3 2021 call: “the decision to exit the unprofitable Street and Legacy Sportster bikes.”
Milwaukee-Eight, 2016, and Revolution Max, 2021. “The ninth Big Twin in its history” and “a clean-sheet, advanced-design effort.” Neither release gives a program cost or a development time. Both are still the engines of the two lines that carry the company. The Pan America is the one genuinely new segment Harley has entered in twenty years by building rather than buying, and it is a $20,000 motorcycle.
Harley-Davidson develops from within when the product will carry the full brand at the full price, and reaches outside for everything below it.
The one time it built its own small bike in its own plants, it lost money, closed the plant, and licensed the segment to the partner who could build the engine for ₹2.29 lakh.
York builds Touring and Softail with an IAM workforce and a cost base built for $25,000 motorcycles. A 440 single at a York burden rate is not a $6,000 motorcycle and everyone in the planning office knows it. That is the calculation behind “finalizing the specific production plans.” I have run it.
The Sprint rhyme
1960, an Aermacchi. 2026, a Hero. The same hole below the big twin, and somebody else’s engine in it both times.
Same hole, somebody else’s engine
The first Harley-Davidson Sprint was an Aermacchi. Harley bought half of the Varese motorcycle division in 1960, for about a quarter of a million dollars by the accounts that survive, because the 125cc Hummer left a gap between it and the big twins that Japan was about to fill.
It sold the Sprint for fourteen years, won three 250cc world championships (1974–76) and a 350 title with Walter Villa on Aermacchi-built Harleys, and then in 1978 AMF sold the factory and the rights to the Castiglioni brothers. Thirty years later Harley bought MV Agusta from the same family, and sold it back to them for a euro. Unverified Prices and dates for Aermacchi are secondary-sourced; open item 3.
Sixty-six years on the Sprint returns, into the same hole, on somebody else’s engine. Hero’s July 3, 2023 release: the X440’s 440cc single was “co-developed by Hero MotoCorp and Harley-Davidson at the Hero Center for Innovation and Technology,” built at the “Garden Factory at Neemrana, Rajasthan,” and priced from ₹2,29,000, about $2,760. Trade reporting puts X440 sales at 8,974 units in the nine months to December 2024. Unverified
- Jul 2025Zeitz, Q2 call: the Sprint has “been in development since 2021,” is “targeting an entry price below $6,000,” and will be “not only highly accessible, but also profitable.”
- Nov 2025Starrs, Q3 call: “a bike that’s lighter and easier to maneuver … a bike that’s more affordable.”
- May 2026Starrs, Q1 call: “returning to a space that we haven’t been in since the 1960s.” On production: “we’re finalizing the specific production plans.” Trade reporting the same day: the target is now “less than $10,000” and the build location is undecided. Unverified
- Jun 2026Hero’s CEO: “If Harley finds suitability for the product in its global markets, it can take it from Hero to sell elsewhere; that decision rests with Harley.” Unverified A dealer letter: order X350 RAs now, “well in advance of availability of Sprint.”
- Jul 2026Starrs, Q2 call: “we expect to ship Sprint end of this year.” No price, no plant, no mention of Hero.
Nobody at Harley has said where the Sprint will be built or what it will cost. Both facts are the test. If the Sprint ships from Neemrana at a Hero cost base, the rule held and the “existing platforms” in Starrs’s plan include one that belongs to a licensee in Rajasthan. If it ships from York at a York cost base, it will not be a $6,000 motorcycle, and the Street’s history says what happens next.
The other half of the test
“Our iconic Harley-Davidson Sportster will be returning in 2027.” Air-cooled, “middleweight,” “accessible starting price point,” “the most requested motorcycle from both our riders and our dealers.”
Starrs, May 2026: “we have the cost at a place where we are comfortable against the expected MSRP.” Trade reporting: an 883cc air-cooled twin, about $10,000, built in York. Unverified It is the first air-cooled twin program since the Evolution and, if the reporting holds, the first time in the record that the space below the big twin is being filled from Harley’s own plant, at a price where Harley has never made money. Raymond James, on the same call: “there’s a reason why Sportster was discontinued, right? It was hard to make money.”
The plan has a second lever, and Starrs is the first CEO in the record to fill the hole from inside.
Back to the Bricks is a Touring and Softail plan with a licensee’s motorcycle at the bottom, and the undecided Sprint plant was the tell.
The final word
Seven CEOs, one cycle, and what every purchase was actually for.
Each CEO’s purchases are the next CEO’s focus story
Bleustein bought Buell; Wandell shut it. Ziemer bought MV; Wandell sold it. Levatich bought Alta, StaCyc, the QJ deal and the Thailand plant; Zeitz kept the two that fill dealer floors and reversed the one that built motorcycles offshore. Zeitz spun LiveWire and sold the finance company; Starrs brought Rev Max home and brought back a motorcycle discontinued four years earlier.
| CEO | Tenure | Bought or started | Sold, shut or reversed |
|---|---|---|---|
| Richard Teerlink | –1997 | Eaglemark 49% and 100%; Buell 49% | Holiday Rambler |
| Jeffrey Bleustein | 1997–2005 | Buell to ~100% | none |
| James Ziemer | 2005–2009 | MV Agusta | none |
| Keith Wandell | 2009–2015 | none | Buell; MV Agusta |
| Matt Levatich | 2015–2020 | Thailand plant; Alta; StaCyc; Qianjiang; Silicon Valley R&D; LiveWire as a brand | Alta |
| Jochen Zeitz | 2020–2025 | Hero licence; LiveWire SPAC; KYMCO; HDFS to KKR/PIMCO | India manufacturing; Street; Sportster; Bronx; Rev Max to Thailand |
| Artie Starrs | Oct 2025– | Sprint; Sportster 883 return; Dust (via LiveWire) | Rev Max back from Thailand; “leaned heavily into Touring and Electric” |
Buell lasted sixteen years under Harley ownership and eleven months into a new CEO. MV lasted fourteen months into one. LiveWire is eleven months into Starrs. That is not a strategy; it is a cycle, and the table is its record.
What it was for
Everything above this line is filed. This section is judgment, and says so.
Harley doesn’t want electric. It wants floor traffic.
The Milwaukee-Eight and the Revolution Max got built because a Touring bike and a Pan America carry a $25,000 price that pays for an engine program. A 440 single, a balance bike, a battery and a consumer loan book do not, and every one of them was bought, licensed or partnered. Kept when it feeds the dealer. Dropped when it competes with the badge.
Read the electric decade that way and it stops looking like a series of mistakes. Alta was a battery lesson bought for a sum too small to disclose. LiveWire was an option on a category, sold to the public so the losses would sit somewhere else until consolidation brought them home. StaCyc was the only part of it Harley ever wanted for its own sake: a $649 product that puts a family on a dealer floor and brings them back in ten years for a Sportster. It is the one part of the electric decade the company has never had to write down, and it is the one that was never an electric motorcycle.
I ran product at Harley. I know the meeting where a program gets its cost target, and I know which programs never get one because the answer is already known. The Sprint got one in 2021 and is still “finalizing production plans” in 2026. That is the answer.
Ground Truth No. 02 ended by asking which brick LiveWire is under. This one ends with the question underneath that. The record says Harley keeps what fills the dealer floor and sells what competes with the badge. Which of those is the Sprint?
Every document, linked
Each row in the first table opens the filing on EDGAR. The second is company releases and full call transcripts. The third is secondary, and nothing rests on it that is not marked Unverified in the text.
| Document | Filed | What it supports | Link |
|---|---|---|---|
| Form 10-K, FY1994 Harley-Davidson, Inc. | Mar 1995 | Eaglemark $10M for 49%; Buell 49%; Holiday Rambler acquired Dec 1986 | Open on EDGAR → 0000950131-95-000813 |
| Form 10-K, FY1996 Harley-Davidson, Inc. | Mar 1997 | Eaglemark remainder ~$45M (Nov 1995); Transportation Vehicles segment sold ~$105M, gain $22.6M, “core motorcycle business” | Open on EDGAR → 0000912057-97-011157 |
| 8-K, MV Agusta announcement Harley-Davidson, Inc. | 11 Jul 2008 | ~€70M ($109M) incl. ~€45M of bank debt; contingent payment 2016; Ziemer quote | Open on EDGAR → 0000897069-08-001146 |
| Form 10-Q, Q3 2008 Harley-Davidson, Inc. | 30 Oct 2008 | MV closing 8 Aug 2008; €68.3M ($105.1M); initial goodwill $87.9M, IPR&D $16.6M | Open on EDGAR → 0001193125-08-220204 |
| 8-K Ex. 99.1, Q3 2009 results Harley-Davidson, Inc. | 15 Oct 2009 | Buell discontinuation, ~$125M; MV divestiture; Wandell “focus” sentences; Q3 impairments $14.2M / $18.9M | Open on EDGAR → 0001193125-09-208172 |
| Form 10-Q, Q3 2009 · Note 19 Harley-Davidson, Inc. | 30 Oct 2009 | Buell exit cost by category; MV goodwill $85.6M; earn-out terms | Open on EDGAR → 0001193125-09-218615 |
| Form 10-K, FY2009 · MV note Harley-Davidson, Inc. | 23 Feb 2010 | Final allocation; goodwill $85.75M; IPR&D $20.1M; 2009 impairment $115.4M; discontinued ops 2008–09 | Open on EDGAR → 0001193125-10-037160 |
| 8-K, MV sale · Ex. 2.1 Sale and Purchase Agreement Harley-Davidson, Inc. | 9 Aug 2010 | €1 / $1 / €1; €20.0M capital increase; earn-out waived; prior write-downs $162.6M net | Open on EDGAR → 0001193125-10-183610 |
| Form 10-K, FY2010 · discontinued operations Harley-Davidson, Inc. | 24 Feb 2011 | 2010 impairment $111.8M; “nominal consideration”; loss table 2008–10; Buell production ceased Oct 2009 | Open on EDGAR → 0001193125-11-045258 |
| 8-K Ex. 99.1, Q4 2011 results Harley-Davidson, Inc. | 24 Jan 2012 | $51.0M benefit on discontinued operations; IRS agreement; “no further financial adjustments related to MV Agusta” | Open on EDGAR → 0001193125-12-021080 |
| Form 10-K, FY2014 Harley-Davidson, Inc. | Feb 2015 | 694 U.S. dealerships; 2014 retail | Open on EDGAR → 0000793952-15-000009 |
| 8-K Ex. 99.1, Q1 2018 results Harley-Davidson, Inc. | 24 Apr 2018 | The only “Alta” sentence in any H-D filing | Open on EDGAR → 0000793952-18-000017 |
| 8-K Ex. 99.1, More Roads Harley-Davidson, Inc. | 30 Jul 2018 | LiveWire 2019; models through 2022; $450–550M opex, $225–275M capex; Asia small-displacement alliance | Open on EDGAR → 0000793952-18-000046 |
| Form 10-Q, Q3 2018 Harley-Davidson, Inc. | 8 Nov 2018 | Investment (loss) income −$1,106K; no Alta, no equity-investment note | Open on EDGAR → 0000793952-18-000057 |
| Form D / D/A chain Faster Faster, Inc. (Alta Motors) | 2016–2018 | Five Reg D notices; round closed $20,843,998 (D/A, 5 Feb 2018); $5.0M bridge (13 Aug 2018) | Open on EDGAR → 0001620298-18-000001 · -18-000002 |
| Form 10-Q, Q1 2019 · goodwill note Harley-Davidson, Inc. | 9 May 2019 | StaCyc: $14.9M total; $7.0M cash; goodwill $9.5M; intangibles $5.3M | Open on EDGAR → 0000793952-19-000021 |
| Form 10-K, FY2019 · R80–R82 Harley-Davidson, Inc. | 19 Feb 2020 | StaCyc XBRL details; goodwill roll-forward +$9,520K | Open on EDGAR → 0000793952-20-000008 |
| 8-K, India exit Harley-Davidson, Inc. | 24 Sep 2020 | Discontinuing India sales and manufacturing; ~70 employees; ~$75M; $67M contract termination | Open on EDGAR → 0000793952-20-000097 |
| 8-K Ex. 99.1, LiveWire / ABIC Harley-Davidson, Inc. | 13 Dec 2021 | $1.77B EV; H-D $100M; KYMCO $100M; StaCyc included in LiveWire | Open on EDGAR → 0001193125-21-354631 |
| 8-K Ex. 99.1, carve-out financial statements LiveWire Group, Inc. | 30 Sep 2022 | StaCyc earn-out: $4,978K fair value; $0–$6,537K; $2,180K paid 2020, 2021, 2022 | Open on EDGAR → 0001193125-22-255710 |
| Form 10-K, FY2022 · R71 LiveWire Group, Inc. | 6 Mar 2023 | Contingent consideration roll-forward; goodwill $8,327K | Open on EDGAR → 0001898795-23-000023 |
| 8-K, Dust Motorcycles APA and KYMCO agreement LiveWire Group, Inc. | 22 May 2026 | $375K cash; $500K stock; 3 × $875K stock; earn-outs to $11.25M; KYMCO five-year exclusivity | Open on EDGAR → 0001193125-26-237206 |
| 8-K Ex. 99.1, Q2 2026 results LiveWire Group, Inc. | 23 Jul 2026 | 267 motorcycles; 5,223 StaCyc; Honcho production; Dust closed | Open on EDGAR → 0001898795-26-000064 |
| Form 10-K, FY2025 Harley-Davidson, Inc. | 26 Feb 2026 | 554 U.S. dealerships; HDFS 9.8% to KKR/PIMCO; Thailand | Open on EDGAR → 0000793952-26-000011 |
Releases and transcripts
| Document | Date | Link |
|---|---|---|
| H-D release · Alta investment | 1 Mar 2018 | Open → |
| H-D release · Silicon Valley R&D facility | 5 Sep 2018 | Open → |
| H-D release · StaCyc acquisition | 5 Mar 2019 | Open → |
| H-D release · Qianjiang | 19 Jun 2019 | Open → |
| H-D release · Hero MotoCorp agreements | 27 Oct 2020 | Open → |
| H-D release · MV Agusta sale | 6 Aug 2010 | Open → |
| H-D release · Street platform | 4 Nov 2013 | Open → |
| H-D release · Milwaukee-Eight | 23 Aug 2016 | Open → |
| H-D Media Kit · Revolution Max 1250 | 22 Feb 2021 | Open → |
| H-D release · KKR / PIMCO | 30 Jul 2025 | Open → |
| H-D release · Rev Max returns to U.S. | 9 Jun 2026 | Open → |
| Hero MotoCorp release · X440 | 3 Jul 2023 | Open → |
| LiveWire release · FY2025 results | 10 Feb 2026 | Open → |
| LiveWire release · Dust Moto | 19 May 2026 | Open → |
| LiveWire release · S4 Honcho production | 8 Jun 2026 | Open → |
| BRP release · Alta assets | 20 Feb 2019 | Open → |
| Transcript · Q1 2019 call (Levatich on StaCyc) | 23 Apr 2019 | Open → |
| Transcript · Q3 2021 call (Goetter on Street) | 27 Oct 2021 | Open → |
| Transcript · Q2 2025 call (Zeitz on Sprint) | 30 Jul 2025 | Open → |
| Transcript · Q1 2026 call (Starrs) | 5 May 2026 | Open → |
| Transcript · Q2 2026 call (Starrs) | 23 Jul 2026 | Open → |
Secondary, used only where flagged
| Source | Date | Link |
|---|---|---|
| Asphalt & Rubber · Alta break-up (sourced report) | 29 Aug 2018 | Open → |
| TechCrunch · Alta closure; H-D statement | 18 Oct 2018 | Open → |
| RideApart · Fenigstein interview | 2024 | Open → |
| Motorcycle.com · Sprint price and plant (deck paraphrase) | 5 May 2026 | Open → |
| Motorcycle.com · Sportster 883 (deck paraphrase) | 5 May 2026 | Open → |
| Autocar Professional · X440 volumes | 30 Jan 2025 | Open → |
| motorcycles.news · Hero CEO on Sprint | 23 Jun 2026 | Open → |
| Powersports Business · dealer letter, X350 RA and Sprint | 25 Jun 2026 | Open → |
| Roadracing World · Buell statement, 135,000 units | 15 Oct 2009 | Open → |
| Powersports Business · Erik Buell | 14 Mar 2011 | Open → |
| Deseret News / AP · Holiday Rambler sale | 26 Jan 1996 | Open → |
| Family RVing · Holiday Rambler $155M | Oct 2003 | Open → |
| Curbside Classic; Classic Bike Hub; Motorcycle Classics; Rider · Aermacchi | various | Open → |
Who wrote this, and how
Left: the Low Rider on the freeway. Middle: leading a group through the canyons. Right: the day job on weekends.
I hold no position in Harley-Davidson, LiveWire Group, Hero MotoCorp, KYMCO, or any company named here: long, short, or derivative. I have no engagement, adverse or friendly, with any of them. I know Marc Fenigstein, Alta’s co-founder, and have worked with him since Alta closed; his account quoted in §04 is public record and is identified as his.
Where a conclusion rests on my time in the industry rather than a document, I say so. Where an earlier version of this was wrong, the fix is in the log at §13, not made quietly. If something here is wrong, tell me.
Primary documents first. Every dollar figure on MV Agusta, Buell, StaCyc, Eaglemark, India, Dust and LiveWire is from a filing, linked in §11. Alta’s bound is from Alta’s own Form D chain, and is marked as an inference.
Derived figures are labelled. Loss-to-consideration multiples, loss per month, units per unit, revenue per unit and the Form D increment are arithmetic on filed numbers; the script is in the repo at tools/gt03/calc.py.
Fact and opinion are separated. §§01–09 are sourced. §10 is judgment and says so. Where a reading rests on my time in the industry (the York cost base, the planning-office calculation) it is tagged Industry context.
No inside sources. Nothing here rests on anything I was told. The public record carries every claim.
Major findings carry one of five tags, so a reader can see at a glance what kind of claim is being made and how to attack it.
What is not yet nailed down, and what Rev. 0 got wrong
Ten open items. Anything in this list is tagged Unverified where it appears above. The corrections log is public policy: nothing is fixed silently.
| # | Item | Status |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Alta investment amount | Not in any H-D filing (full-text search, 2018–2019). The bound in §04 is inferred from Faster Faster, Inc.’s Form D chain. The FY2018 10-K MD&A paragraph on investment income was not retrieved. It is the one place an unnamed write-off might be described. |
| 2 | “Alta Motors” in LiveWire’s 10-Ks | LiveWire’s FY2024 and FY2025 10-Ks contain the string (EDGAR full-text hit); location not retrieved, probably an officer biography. |
| 3 | Aermacchi | 1960 price (~$250K), 1978 sale price, Sprint volumes and the year of full ownership (1972–74) are secondary only. |
| 4 | Holiday Rambler purchase price | $155M is trade press (Family RVing, 2003); the 1986 annual report is not on EDGAR. |
| 5 | Buell 1993 price and cumulative units | ~$500K and 135,000+ / 136,923 are secondary. |
| 6 | Hero X440 volumes; Sprint build source | 8,974 (Apr–Dec 2024) is Autocar Professional’s. Neither Harley nor Hero has confirmed Hero builds the Sprint. Check the dealer-meeting materials and the Q3 call. |
| 7 | Sprint price; 883 price and plant | “Less than $10,000” and “~$10,000 / York” are press paraphrases of the 5 May 2026 investor deck. Fetch the deck. |
| 8 | Milwaukee-Eight and Rev Max program costs | Not in either release; check capex commentary 2014–2020. |
| 9 | LiveWire TTM units | 923 to June 2026 is from No. 01; the Q1 2026 release was not re-pulled. |
| 10 | Realized India exit charge | $75M is the estimate for actions approved September 2020; FY2020 restructuring was $130.0M for all 2020 actions and does not break India out. |
Corrections log
Rev. 0 (8 September 2026) was an outline built from secondary sources. Rev. 1 (9 September 2026) corrects it on reading the filings.
| What was claimed | What the document said |
|---|---|
| MV Agusta: “~$163M of losses in 24 months.” | That is the 8-K’s “prior write-downs of $162.6 million, net of tax,” which is impairments only. The filed net loss from discontinued operations is $268.4M (2008–10), $217.4M after the Q4 2011 tax reversal. |
| MV sale: “€1 with €20M of H-D cash inside.” | Right but incomplete: three nominal payments (€1 shares, $1 U.S. LLC, €1 for a €103.8M receivable), €20.0M into escrow, earn-out waived. |
| StaCyc 2025 units: 21,141. | 21,633 (LiveWire FY2025 release). Ratio to motorcycles 32 → 33. |
| HDFS: “9.8% to KKR/PIMCO, ~$6B book sold.” | 4.9% each to KKR and PIMCO (9.8% collectively, FY2025 10-K) and “over $5 billion” of receivables (30 Jul 2025 release). |
| Thailand plant, 2018. | Announced 25 May 2017; producing 2018. |
| “Zeitz, 2025: unprofitable” on Street. | The on-the-record statement is CFO Gina Goetter’s, Q3 2021 call. Zeitz said “prune unprofitable motorcycles” without naming Street. |
| Buell exit cost $125M, stated as fact. | It is the October 2009 estimate (Q3 2009 10-Q, Note 19). No filing reports a realized Buell-only total. |
| Holiday Rambler sold 1996 for ~$50M. | The whole Transportation Vehicles segment went for ~$105M, gain $22.6M (FY1996 10-K); ~$50M was the RV division per wire reports. |
| Alta: H-D “would instead build its own R&D center in Silicon Valley.” | Paraphrase. The facility was announced in a separate release, 5 Sep 2018. |
| Dust: cost undisclosed. | Terms are in LiveWire’s 22 May 2026 8-K. |
| S4 Honcho $4,999. | $4,999 Trail; $5,499 Street. |
| Aermacchi full ownership 1974. | Sources split 1972/1973/1974; stated as “early 1970s.” |